Skeptical Science New Research for Week #49, 2019

Skeptical Science - Our crowdfunding campaign to complete development of the Cranky Uncle game for improving our climate cognition reached its initial goal of $15,000 in only 7 days. We've activated our first stretch goal, to port the app to Android. You can help by contributing right now while you're thinking about it! To all those who've already contributed, a massive Thank You! Greenland mass balance refined by IMBIE The IMBIE team have published a new analysis, Mass balance of the Greenland … [Read more...]

2019 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #49

Skeptical Science - A chronological listing of news articles linked to on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week, i.e., Sun, Dec 1 through Sat, Dec 7, 2019 Editor's Pick Should Climate Scientists Be Climate Activists? One Tells Us ‘We Can’t Wait Any Longer’ For Action Twila Moon, at left, and Maria Caffrey at the CPR News studios Friday Nov. 15 2019. The two are climate scientists who discussed the line between activism and science. For decades, scientists … [Read more...]

Legal Education for Scientists Events at the AGU Fall Meeting

Skeptical Science - This is a repost of the December 3rd entry in the Climate Science Legal Defense Fund blog, by CSLDF Executive Director Lauren Kurtz. The Climate Science Legal Defense Fund (CSLDF) and American Geophysical Union (AGU) want to help scientists understand their legal rights and responsibilities—we believe this knowledge is an essential part of every researcher’s professional development. So we’ve partnered on the “Legal Education for Scientists … [Read more...]

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #48, 2019

Skeptical Science - Reminder! The crowdfunding campaign to complete development of the Cranky Uncle game for improving our climate cognition is running right now. It takes only a few minutes and a few dollars to make a difference, by contributing right now while you're thinking about it. Thank you! "Not just your opinion, man*" From time to time scientists or groups of scientists pull their heads out of instrumentation, calculation, the general obsessive fascination of focused scientific … [Read more...]

How good have climate models been at truly predicting the future?

RealClimate - A new paper from Hausfather and colleagues (incl. me) has just been published with the most comprehensive assessment of climate model projections since the 1970s. Bottom line? Once you correct for small errors in the projected forcings, they did remarkably well. Climate models are a core part of our understanding of our future climate. They also have been frequently attacked by those dismissive of climate change, who argue that since climate models are inevitably … [Read more...]

2019 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #48

Skeptical Science - A chronological listing of news articles linked to on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week, i.e., Sun, Nov 24 through Sat, Nov 30, 2019 Editor's Pick 10 ways to accelerate progress against climate change From pricing carbon to shifting diets, here’s what we need to prioritize now. Erlangen, Bavaria / Germany - May 24, 2019: Fridays for future, Global Climate Strike on the European elections - Shutterstock Image The United Nations reported this week … [Read more...]

2019 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #47

Skeptical Science - A chronological listing of news articles linked to on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week, i.e., Sun, Nov 17 through Sat, Nov 23, 2019 Editor's Pick The climate science is clear: it's now or never to avert catastrophe Disastrous global heating will soon become irrevocable – but despite politicians’ inaction millions are taking to the streets to fight the planet’s fever Illustration: Francisco Navas/Guardian Design The one thing never to … [Read more...]

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #46, 2019

Skeptical Science - Gem of nature, moral hazard, or attractive nuisance? It's hard to miss the inherent tension in Welling & Abegg's Following the ice: adaptation processes of glacier tour operators in Southeast Iceland: The growing recognition that global climatic change is a pressing reality and that its impacts on humans and ecological systems are inevitable makes adaptation a core topic in climate change research and policymaking. The glacier tourism sector that is highly sensitive … [Read more...]

10 years on

RealClimate - I woke up on Tuesday, 17 Nov 2009 completely unaware of what was about to unfold. I tried to log in to RealClimate, but for some reason my login did not work. Neither did the admin login. I logged in to the back-end via ssh, only to be inexplicably logged out again. I did it again. No dice. I then called the hosting company and told them to take us offline until I could see what was going on. When I did get control back from the hacker (and hacker it was), there was a large … [Read more...]

2019 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #46

Skeptical Science - A chronological listing of news articles linked to on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week, i.e., Sun, Nov 10 through Sat, Nov 16, 2019 Editor's Pick The Climate Change Health Risks Facing a Child Born Today: A Tale of Two Futures The latest Countdown report from the medical journal Lancet lays out the risks ahead, from the womb to adulthood. A child born today faces two possible futures. In one, the world continues to burn fossil fuels, making the child … [Read more...]

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #45, 2019

Skeptical Science - A telegenic thumb on the scales of perception Kristin Timm reports on presentation habits of television weather forecasters, in AMS journal Weather, Climate and Society. "Conformal comportment" might be the label on the bucket of behaviors described in Timm's paper, but styles change with time— hopefully. Abstract: The journalistic norm of balance bas been described as the practice of giving equal weight to different sides of a story; false balance is balanced … [Read more...]

Top 10 most viewed rebuttals in September and October 2019

Skeptical Science - We recently posted about the Top 5 most viewed rebuttals during the month of October on social media and were surprised that the Facebook post garnered quite some reactions and managed to reach many people. So, here is a more detailed blog post also looking at September data which - most likely due to the "Greta effect" saw some interesting spikes and activities. Let's start with the ten most popular Skeptical Science rebuttals during October 2019: Note: this is based on … [Read more...]

Sensitive But Unclassified

RealClimate - The US federal government goes to quite a lot of effort to (mostly successfully) keep sensitive but unclassified (SBU) information (like personal data) out of the hands of people who would abuse it. But when it comes to the latest climate models, quite a few are SBU as well. The results from climate models that are being run for CMIP6 have been talked about for a few months as the papers describing them have made it in to the literature, and the first assessments of the … [Read more...]

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #44, 2019

Skeptical Science - Burning Paris As the final net of this fishing trip bulging with new research results came inboard over the gunnels of the Skeptical Science research trawler, the Trump administration triggered the clock on the US withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement. In a year, the largest economy on the planet will not be cooperating or pulling its weight on repairing our originally accidental but now arguably willful destructive rampage through Earth's various surface systems. … [Read more...]

CSLDF: Here’s How Science Has Suffered During the First 1,000 Days of Trump

Skeptical Science - This is a repost of the October 17th entry in the Climate Science Legal Defense Fund blog, by CSLDF Executive Director Lauren Kurtz. Editor's note: Skeptical Science always tries to discern and respect the sometimes hazy border separating scientific research and its findings from public policy and hence politics. Here we have a situation that springs directly from the political world to negatively affect some of the core operations and functions of scientific inquiry. … [Read more...]

Ynyslas, western Wales – a place made by climate change

Skeptical Science - Ynyslas, on the Cardigan Bay coast of Wales, is a place well-known for its extensive, shingle spit-fronted sand-dunes, its hinterland of estuarine saltmarsh-flats and, seaward, its golden sandy beach, complete with a several thousand year-old submerged forest. The place gets some 250,000 visitors a year. Taking all of those factors into account, and that Ynyslas is also a direct product of actual climatic changes that occurred in the geologically-recent past, its tale was … [Read more...]

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #43, 2019

Skeptical Science - 62 articles, 11 open access [Late breaking] A few hours after "finishing" this edition of New Research, Nature Communications published a reassessment of SLR-driven coastal flooding hazards, New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding by Kulp & Strauss. The authors identify systematic problems with Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission (SRTM) DEM (digital elevation model) data and DEM products based on the SRTM data … [Read more...]

60 Years of Satellite Earth Radiation Budget Observations

Skeptical Science - 60 years ago this month the first direct observation "Earth Radiation Budget" experiment (ERB) was successfully lofted into orbit on Explorer VII, after a string of disappointing launch failures. This deployment was only the start of an increasingly sophisticated series of experiments intended to quantify and eventually monitor the ERB. In light of subsequent development it's an event worth commemorating. "The primary purpose of the experiment is to measure the solar, … [Read more...]

Talking about climate science at SAP TechEd in Barcelona

Skeptical Science - I work in the IT-department of a German manufacturing company where I help maintain the company's installation of the SAP business software. SAP is a global IT-company headquartered in Walldorf, Germany. Each fall, SAP organizes a large technical conference - the TechEd - in Las Vegas, Barcelona and Bangalore. These events are comparable to scientific conferences, offering keynote speeches, lectures, hands-on sessions and vendor exhibitions all happening at the same time in … [Read more...]

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #42, 2019

Skeptical Science - 54 articles, 18 open access When positives are a negative Nature Climate Change highlights Susan Natali's Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region, observing: Warming in the Arctic is causing soils to decompose more rapidly, even during winter. Now, estimates of winter carbon dioxide loss indicate that it can offset carbon gains during the growing season, meaning that the region is a source of carbon. We need another positive feedback like … [Read more...]

Canada’s ClimateData Web Portal: Normal Science, Not Fake

Skeptical Science - In August, the Canadian government launched a new website called ClimateData.ca which "provides engineers, public health professionals, urban planners, mayors, and anyone else doing long-term planning with user-friendly climate change information, data, resources and tools" (press release). The website uses past weather data from 1950-2011 along with computer modelling to project the possible future impacts of climate change in Canada. Françoys Labonté, the … [Read more...]

Skeptical Science New Research for Week #41, 2019

Skeptical Science - 38 articles, 9 open access Known unknowns become known 3 months of SkS research news exposes a persistent feature of the weekly harvest: reports of investigations of expected climate outcomes in particular geographical sectors of Earth. This is made possible by regional climate modeling, a capacity that has matured and almost equally importantly become less expensive and hence more widely available in recent years. Earlier this year Filippo Giorgi's Thirty Years of Regional … [Read more...]

More than 500 people misunderstand climate change

RealClimate - A consensus is usually established when one explanation is more convincing than alternative accounts, convincing the majority. This is also true in science. However, science-based knowledge is also our best description of our world because it is built on testing hypotheses that are independently reexamined by colleagues. It is also typical that there are a few stubborn people who think they know better than the rest. When it comes to climate science, there is a small group of … [Read more...]